9/10/2023 0 Comments Reddit incontrol unity![]() It is not an exaggeration to say: The process of restoring Syria’s territorial integrity and restoring its national unity has become next to impossible. Turkey has launched several military operations, against (ISIS) and against the PYD / YPG, in order to revive / maintain this scenario. This scenario is closer to the orientations of the Syrian opposition. Syria united with the guarantee of its territory alone: It is known that both Russia and the regime described these talks as positive at that time. The terrorist People’s Protection Units (YPG), which stated in talks that took place in 2017 between it and the regime, called for a “federal region under constitutional guarantees,” and also demanded self-administration, in exchange for its withdrawal from Arab-majority areas in the north of the country. Under this scenario, which was also based on the internal political experience of Russia, the PYD / YPG elements would be integrated into the regime’s army, so that the regime would secure control of all Syrian lands again. The most supportive of this scenario is Russia. Lack of professionalism by security-affiliated officials in opposition-held territories has contributed to the deteriorating security situation.įederalism: The situation is based on the formation of a joint political entity consisting of three different local administrations, in the Idlib region, the eastern Euphrates region, and the regime-held areas in Damascus, in a manner that each maintains broad powers in its internal affairs. This is mainly due to lack of accountability and corruption. The security apparatuses in regime, opposition, and SDF held territories are unable to fully control the behavior of individuals, entities, and groups under their respective command at varying degrees. The responses highlighted that the Assad-regime has even increased its brutality against civilians. Based on responses from respondents residing in regime-held areas, the behavior of the security apparatuses affiliated with the Assad regime remains unchanged and persistent in utilizing the same detention and torture tactics as before 2011. ![]() To varying degrees, each area is experiencing a host of challenges revolving around the social and economic repercussions from the continued war. The general security situation in Syria continues to be highly volatile and fragmented mirroring the political, military, and economic instability. The current outlook does not clearly outline when a secure and stable environment will be set for Syrians to return.īased on responses from respondents residing in regime-held areas, the behavior of the security apparatuses affiliated with the Assad regime remains unchanged and persistent in utilizing the same detention and torture tactics as before 2011. Also contributing, the prolonged political process, including the constitutional committee, have laid a confusing path with unclear outcomes that would lead to a stable political climate in the near future. ![]() Syria is no exception, as the need for a political transition grows more urgent.Īlthough security and stability are a focus point for key stakeholders, the growing fragmentation and chaos has only expanded the various layers to attaining security. As highlighted throughout history, security and stability are essential and were predominately achieved by instilling a new political order that removes the main sources of conflict. Security, stability, and early recovery are dependent upon one another in a political transition and reformation. In addition to million of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) and refugees in the neighboring countries and Europe, while the destruction of the infrastructure and the depletion of the economy reaches a new level recently.Īt a time when the Syrians inside and outside Syria renewed their demands for freedom and the overthrow of the regime, the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, was presenting offers to the Arab Gulf states to appease them to provide support in the reconstruction and re-float of the Assad regime. The Syrian revolution has entered its new year, burdened with a death toll of over half a million people while hundreds of thousands of missing. Here is the Syrian president, preparing for a fourth presidential term, and he survived the conflict with unlimited Russian and Iranian support, at a time when the Syrian opposition failed to offer an alternative to the regime. However, after ten years, it seems that all those optimistic about the political change in the country have gone too far in their ambitions. Optimistic analysts believed that the regime would not survive for long, in front of pressure factors that all came together against it, between the pressure of the street at home and the pressure of the International community as well as the armed opposition. Ten years have passed since the protests began peacefully against the Syrian regime, and then soon turned into an armed conflict.
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